November 01, 2004

Ace o' Spades election contest

Go over and submit your predictions. Prizes to consist of whatever's lying in the Ace HQ ditch. Here's what I think will happen:

House GOP Gains or Losses. GOP +4 seats

Senate GOP Gains or Losses. GOP +3 seats

Presidential Election: Popular vote share. Bush will win 49.5% of the popular vote, making it the 4th consecutive election without someone garnering 50+% of the vote.

Presidential Election: Electoral Share. Bush will win 283 electoral votes. My count is only valid before the Democrats ask the courts to change some results.

Presidential Election: Time of Declaration. If Minnesota and Iowa for Bush, the race will be over. I'm 10:45 p.m.

Presidential Election: Swing States! OH: Kerry; FL: Bush; MI: Kerry; MN: Bush; IA: Bush; WI: Bush; PA: Kerry; CO: Bush; NJ: Kerry; HI: Bush; NM: Bush; NH: Kerry.

Presidential Election: Tiebreaking Uncategorizable Prediction!
1) Dan Rather's head starts spinning around while his newsdesk levitates. Selling his soul to the Devil seemed a better alternative to calling the election for Bush.

2) Chris Matthews will announce that Florida is still up for grabs when Bush has a 20 point early lead. In an unrelated announcement, Ohio will be called for Kerry at 6 p.m.. EST

3) Brit Hume will offer the most balanced analysis of the election results, regardless of who wins.

Posted by: Physics Geek at 04:53 PM | No Comments | Add Comment
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